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Tuesday, March 25th, 2008

    Time Event
    2:01p
    21—a movie review
    Saw 21 last night. As with lots of movies, the less you know about it going in, the better you'll like it. In this case, I haven't yet read the book it's based on (Bringing Down the House),but I do know enough about it and the backstory to realize that this movie is a very different adaptation. In the same vein, I know enough about how the Las Vegas casinos operate to know that there were some liberties taken with their reality in the movie (not enough that the average person would find them disconcerting). And I recognized far too readily Boston University's Towers dormitory and Bay State Road as our hero's MIT dorm room.

    But leaving aside all those little details which must be changed to make a good movie, I enjoyed this one. It moves very quickly (it definitely didn't feel like the 123 minutes IMDB claims it runs). Graduating MIT senior Ben Campbell (Jim Sturgess) has his whole life working out just as he's planned it, except for the looming inability to pay for Harvard Medical School, to which he's been accepted. Campbell is a genius, on several levels, and displays his mathematical talents in a class, which brings him to the attention of his professor, Micky Rosa (Kevin Spacey). Rosa invites Campbell to join his team…his blackjack team. And from there we're off and running.

    Rosa has assembled a team of students who are adept at the simple—but incredibly rapid—mathematics needed to gain the edge in blackjack from the house. "This is a business," he repeats, "we're not gambling." And the numbers prove him out. The blackjack team has been making good money for quite a while. But there's an opening on the team, and comparing what they can make on a weekend Las Vegas junket to Campbell's $8 an hour in a clothing store, it doesn't take a math whiz to figure out how to spend his time. Of course, nothing is ever simple in the land of Hollywood (or Las Vegas, or pretty much anywhere else), and after Campbell's first $20,000-weekend trip, he's in for setbacks and confusion. But they're all part of the story, and help him to grow into the person he needs to be.

    Campbell is an engaging character, and the other members of the team are also fully fleshed-out, fully realized people (I was very impressed with the entire cast). We see Campbell mature from being "just" a hyper-smart nerd to being a worldly young man with a lot of experience earned through some hard knocks and some easy gifts. The hard work is glossed over (this is, after all, a movie), but we know it was there.

    The year in which the movie takes place isn't made explicit, in part to appeal to a present-day audience (the book was written five years ago about events that were ten years in the past then), so there are some asynchronicities having to do with the changing world and new technologies, but again, they can be safely ignored to enjoy the movie.

    Don't bother looking for a sequel: you can safely feel that the story is complete in this one movie. But do look for it: it's a good movie.
    8:53p
    Spending less than half of the government's budget
    In this post, [info]lonfiction talks about his desire for a politician (or an average person, for that matter) to "put your money where your mouth is." In other words, don't just tell the electorate you're for education: show it by increasing the budget for education. It's a good, passionate argument.

    Unfortunately, it reminded me of this editorial from the March issue of Kiplinger's which my father pointed out a few weeks ago (and I inconveniently forgot to write about). In it, Knight Kiplinger starts off by saying "If you really want to know what people value most, look at how they spend their money." Basically, the same argument Lon is making. Kiplinger goes on to look at the various chunks of the federal budget*. Kiplinger talks about how little, as a percentage of total tax dollars, each field gets. After enumerating most everything the average person thinks about (including the Department of Defense, which has a whopping 21% of the budget), he notes that he still hasn't accounted for more than half of federal spending. "So where do the majority of your federal tax dollars go? To your fellow citizens, in direct payments and benefits." He explains how those payments and benefits make up 56% of annual federal spending. "[A]bout one-third of all federal spending goes out as Social Security benefits and Medicare payments."

    His summation: "the vexing problem of reordering national priorities is that 65% of the current federal budget (56% in transfer payments and 9% in interest on debt) is virtually untouchable." Good and read the entire article: he spells it all out simply and clearly).

    Finally, there's this AP article which talks about the nearing difficulties of continuing Social Security and Medicare as they have been. Quoting from it: "While the Social Security trust fund will have resources until 2041, the more critical date in terms of government revenues will occur in 2017. In that year, Social Security, which has been providing billions of dollars in surpluses to the government for over two decades, will start having to pay out more in benefits than it will receive that year in payroll taxes.

    "At that point, the government will have to start replacing the money it has borrowed from the Social Security trust fund. It can do that only by increasing borrowing from the public, raising taxes or cutting other government programs. The elimination of the Social Security surplus is a key reason that experts are projecting sizable budget deficits in future years."

    Did you catch that? We've been borrowing from Social Security (yes, yes, I know that wasn't a secret, and it's been going on for many years), but that fund will soon be unable to loan the general budget any more money.

    All in all, a sobering look at the finances dictating the federal budget. We can complain about insufficient funding for education, too much money being wasted on science, even overspending on needless wars; but all of those pale in comparison to the 56% gorilla sitting over there in the corner. We've got entitlements which were designed during the Great Depression as stopgaps and assistance programs for a populace living shorter lives, but those programs have become so institutionalized that politicians feel they can't even talk about them.

    You want fiscal responsibility in our leaders? Make them talk about Social Security. Not "how do we keep funding it," but rather "does it make sense to keep looking for bandages to keep the system limping along."



    * Something I've been talking about since I was actively involved with the Artemis Project: to wit, everyone complains about over-spending on space and science, but those expenditures are less than 1% of the federal budget.

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